Showing posts with label property investment. Show all posts
Showing posts with label property investment. Show all posts

Thursday, 25 October 2012

Contrary Thinking

We are getting an increasing number of clients asking for long term rentals and this set me to thinking. I was always brought up to believe that money spent on rent was wasted; it went into someone else’s pocket and bought me nothing. A lot of people thought that way too which explains the popularity of home purchase. In the boom people would go to any lengths to “get on the ladder” whilst banks would seemingly lend any amount without a thought to how it would be paid back. That was madness but are we seeing a different madness now?

The experts tell us that the way to get rich is to think counter intuitively; to ignore the herd and go in the opposite direction! When everyone is telling you that now is the time to buy, that’s the time to sell and conversely when no one wants to buy, that is the time to step in. Sounds easy but the fact that so few of us are rich indicates that in practice it’s harder to do! When everyone around you says no it’s hard to stand out and say yes!

Just now popular opinion is that the Spanish property market is risky, the economy is a mess and that it is somehow chancy to buy a home in the country. Now I know how hard it is to go against the crowd but aren’t these just the times, with the market on it’s back, when buying is actually the right and safe path to take?

Apart from contrarian thinking, what other evidence is there? Well there are the fundamentals that will always make Spain popular; the best weather in Europe, great countryside, excellent infrastructure and unrivaled lifestyle. What convinces me that these factors will work their magic is, perversely, that so many people are renting! It shows there is a huge demand for Spanish living and that an awful lot of people want to make their home in the country. The odds are that they will become buyers when “the time is right”, ie when they have missed the bus and the market is well and truly rising again!

So why don’t you buy today? Well the bar and chat room experts, much of the media and plenty of family and friends will tell you not to and buying in the face of that advice could cause some sleepless nights! It’s very hard to stand out against the crowd. But the reward for those who to take the plunge will be a wonderful lifestyle or holidays from the off and the best investment they will probably ever make!

Finally a thought; for expats a bad local economy is a positive! In booming economies prices rise, in hard times they fall! So as an expat you have a vested interest in your host economy doing badly. Viva La Crisis?
 
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Email: bill.tickle@tickle-international-property.com

Comment from Dave Summers and Annemarie Andried reproduced with their permission;

Bill,
 
Whilst we agree with your take on the situation, a major factor that we consider a stumbling block to committing our life-long savings to a Spanish property is the fact that, the type of property we would create/like would be such that in say  5 - 10 years time when we reach our dottage, or when one of us passes away,and wanted to sell, we can only image that the property would be attractive to another foreigner(not a local) since we have different requirements/ideas when it comes to housing.
 
Therefore we see this narrowing of the field as a major influence on our (and maybe others) decision to commit fully to Spain . Particularly when there is the added confusion relating to changes in succession laws, taxes etc. which as you know the Spanish have a seemingly continuous habit of tinkering with. Result being confusion (f.i. we have contacted 3 different lawyers to get information about evt. income taxes and requirements for wills, etc. in case being resident/house owner and got 3 very different replies!!!)
So at the moment we are long term renting(Axarquia - inland East of Malaga) and because of the situation we fail to see how this whole scenario is going to improve, even in the medium term (5 years) never mind the short term.
As we are in our mid-60ies, it would require a huge leap of faith to buy the place of our dreams in Spain; I would add we are not your typical old(fashioned)pensioners, since we are looking for sort of ultra modern property, but these always seem to come at a premium and can only be found at the coast whilst we ideally are looking for campo lifestyle.
 
We do appreciate your obvious efforts to help foreigners finding their ideal place in the sun, and enjoy reading your comments and insights into life in Spain in particular.
 
Keep up the good work,
on behalf of the Foreign Legion.
 
Dave Summers/Annemie Andries

My Reply
 
Dear Dave and Annemie,
 
Many, many thanks for taking the time to write so fully to me. It is very much appreciated and I found your thinking extremely interesting.
 
You make some very interesting observations;
 
  1. Local V Foreign Taste. This has always been something of an issue! Then again there are different markets between different nationalities; the British and the Irish are neighbours but often seek different things! That said I have never known of there being a problem selling TO Spanish buyers. The problems usually arise where we are trying to sell Spanish properties to foreigners! In fact I sold my home in Spain to Spanish buyers.  The reality is that if you reform, design and build well there will be universal interest. Sure, today, Spaniards tend to prefer glossy marble and shiny tiling whilst foreigners tend to go for the rustico look but fashions change and no matter what style you choose if it’s tasteful and well done there will be buyers. The size of your rooms, the layout and so on will ensure a sale.  
I also have to say that I expect foreign buyers (ie non Spanish) to again be the main driving force in Southern Spain in the future. The need to escape to cold and grey of the North won’t go away!
 
  1. Changes in the law. More troubling but also universal! Governments everywhere tinker with the law incessantly as a justification for their position and privileges!  Nothing that the Spanish Government will do can however compare to the recent tax hike in France on foreign owned properties! 
Income tax is an individual thing and my only comment here is to say that when you move to a new country you have a fresh start on that score so what you declare and how you arrange your affairs has nothing to do with history!
 
Property taxes in Spain are incredibly low and because you live amongst Spanish people will not rise significantly.
 
Inheritance tax has always been a bugbear as the rules in Spain (as elsewhere like France ) stipulate to a great extent who gets what. This can and will change but all movement is towards giving you, the writer of the will more power. It is also the case that credit will be given to the law of your own country in the rules applied to any will. My wife and I always have what in Britain is considered normal; everything left to the survivor, in the event of both dying, everything equally between the kids. We reproduced this in our Spanish will and the advice was this would work. That said you do need legal advice. I can recommend an excellent “economist” in Velez Malaga you could talk to about this. I have known Manolo Mendez  for some 16 years and always found him to be extremely helpful and knowledgeable. His command of English is excellent and he has a big mixed clientele.
 
Gabinette Fiscal Mendez,
C/. Felix Lomas 32,
29700 Velez-Malaga,

Tel                   +34 952 502 100
Fax                  +34 952 501 221
Email                velez@gfmendez.com
 
  1. Finally I understand about your property requirements. You think like me. Comfort and convenience before anything else! My advice here would be to look for a good, well built modern country property and expect to add the comfort touches to it. Double glazing is easy and in my own finca we added insulation with a plasterboard inner skin to create a cavity which was filled with insulation.
 I’d strongly recommend solar water heating but also solar panels for generating electricity. Again these are no longer expensive and they offer the chance to not only reduce bills but also increase usage and therefore comfort.
 
With regard to heating it can be difficult to install central heating after the house is built but that may not be necessary. Modern pellet fed fires are both cheap to use and extremely efficient. You could attach radiators to adjacent  rooms as well. These fires are so much cleaner and more efficient than the old wood burners! In this connection a lot of the fireplaces in Spanish homes are badly sited and useless and consequently give the impression that this type of heating doesn’t work. It does!
 
Obviously I can make recommendations for these things as well.
 
I hope these comments are helpful. I have given your objections a lot of thought and understand them. It’s just that at the end of the day I still think, even for you, that buying is the way to go!

Thursday, 23 August 2012

Come Ons!

Hard times makes the real state business start looking at new ways of generating interest and whilst working harder, promoting better and improving service are all genuine there are some “come ons” that are rather less so. Here are a couple that need watching;

1.         Guaranteed rentals. Sounds like a great inducement to buy a property for investment. Buy today and get a guaranteed rental income. Better than money in the bank? Not necessarily. The trick here is for the seller to be either the developer or have an option to buy the property. They set the price to include the first years rent which they guarantee you so in effect they are only returning your money to you and in year 2 when the guarantee has run out, so does the rental income. 

In any case like this you need to look at the true value of the property as well as the promised rate of return. You also need to question what happens when the period of guarantee expires.

2.         100% Mortgages. In the current climate banks are very reluctant to lend anything to anyone and if they do give you a mortgage it will typically be for no more than 50 – 60% of the lower of purchase price or valuation. Where however the bank is in possession of, for example, blocks of apartments where a developer has defaulted they may well offer a 100% loan. It costs them nothing – you are simply taking over a portion of the outstanding debt due on the property and even if you should default in the future, every payment you make is a bonus. So surely this is a can’t lose deal? Well, maybe not.

In the past Spanish banks used to take foreclosures into their own portfolio at cost. They held the properties until market conditions recovered sufficiently to sell them on and recover what was due, avoiding the need to write down their book value or show losses in their accounts. This also had the added benefit of not flooding the market with cheap, distressed sales and further pushing it down. It was essentially dishonest because the value shown in the bank’s accounts was greater than the real market value of the asset but as long as they weren’t forced to sell, that could be covered up

Now compare this with what happened elsewhere, notably the UK in the recession of the late 80’s. Repossessed properties were sold at no reserve auctions, the banks took major losses and the whole market was undermined. On the face of it what the Spanish banks did was sensible. Today however this won’t work. The amount of repossessed and defaulted property is simply overwhelming. If it was to be shown in their accounts at a true cash value the banks would be bankrupt.

So, going back to the apartments with 100% mortgages, what are they really worth? What would they fetch on the regular open market? What would they go for at a no reserve auction? When you answer that it is immediately apparent that in a lot of cases the mortgage is an inducement to buy a seriously over priced property. It suits the banks because it justifies values in their accounts and provides a cash flow but what does it do for you? You may not have put any capital in but you are still spending money making the payments every month on a mortgage that is much greater than the value of the property.

Not all of these deals are bad; if the property is good, well located and suits your needs and you take a long view then it may be a good idea but for a great many people it is money thrown away.

There are great deals in the market today but your best bet is forget a highly touted come on and just look for a distressed seller. We have plenty and the properties you buy from them will be genuine bargains.

Email: bill.tickle@tickle-international-property.com
+44 208 144 5525
+598 424 80 563
Skype; tickle.tip

Tuesday, 31 July 2012

Property Investment?

Property Investment

Investment and property are two words that are put together far too often! I rarely offer “investment properties” because I am generally cynical about anything sold this way. Normally an “investment” is something that no one wants, so the only way to sell it is buy saying it is cheap and will go up in value or will produce an income!

Any purchase of property must inevitably have an investment element to it because no matter how cheap, it is a big ticket item! It takes a lot of hours work to buy the cheapest property and for anyone making this commitment there has to be a belief that the asset will at least retain its value.

During the boom there was a huge amount of misselling and misinformation out there. Property was being sold as a commodity rather than as a usable product. People were urged to buy on the promise that they could make a profit on a property just as they would by investing on the stock exchange, buying gold coins or putting their money into a bank savings account. We were constantly told that prices here, there and everywhere were rising by 20% pa. Why? Who was buying and why were they buying? If it was because people needed a home or wanted somewhere for their own holidays all well and good. Too often however this promise of market appreciation was no more than a way of selling people something they didn’t want! A typical example could have been the person who wanted a Costa del Sol villa. He can’t afford it so a clever salesman suggests he buys 5 off plan apartments in Bulgaria (properties he doesn’t want and will never use in a country he has no interest in). He is told that they will appreciate 20% pa and in 2 years he can sell them and buy the villa he wanted in the first place. Neat! Believable if you listen to the media hype! The reality is that a lot of people got their fingers burned.

So what makes a good property investment? Here are some questions that might help

1.      Who is the End User? Who wants to live in this property? If I wouldn’t live or holiday there, why should anyone else?

2.      Is there underlying value? Is it in an area people want to live? If it is then it will rent well and the underlying capital value will be safe. If the area is bad then so is the investment.

3.      Is the promised return on investment realistic? If it seems to be too good to be true it probably is. High returns usually mean high risks and just because you can’t see the risks it doesn’t mean they don’t exist. I have seen great returns offered in Detroit, USA for example but some easy research says that these are not good investments.

4.      Why are they selling to foreigners? If an investment is good surely the locals would be at the front of the queue to get a piece of the action?

5.      How will I manage my investment. Lots of people will sell me a property but how many will stick around after to make sure it is let.

Answer those questions and you will have a pretty good idea whether you are on safe ground or stepping off a precipice!

This is a starter on the subject of property investment and I will aim to cover some of the tricks of the trade in coming weeks.


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Email: bill.tickle@tickle-international-property.com